How We Will Really Solve Global Climate Change
NASA SEA LEVEL PORTAL. https://sealevel.nasa.gov/ GLOBAL MEAN SEA LEVEL IS PROJECTED TO RISE: 3.4 MM PER YEAR. GREENLAND ICE MASS CHANGE IS PROJECTED TO BE MINUS 276 GIGATONS PER YEAR. ANTARCTIC ICE MASS CHANGE IS PROJECTED TO BE MINUS 152 GIGATONS PER YEAR.
All of the above are projections from 2020 to 2150. This is 2022, so the projections are for the next 128 years.
“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was created to provide policymakers with regular scientific assessments on climate change, its implications and potential future risks. As part of this effort, the IPCC surveys and distills the scientific literature and provides consensus projections on future sea levels across the globe under a range of possible future scenarios. “ — NASA
And: “The contributions of different physical processes to future sea-level rise are also provided, indicating which processes will be the dominant drivers of future sea level for a given location. Finally, users can download the sea level projection data from the IPCC 6th AR6 in multiple formats.”
So from this, we see that the global average sea level has risen by 6.8mm (or 0.2677inches) in the last two years. In 10 years it will rise by another 34 mm (or 1.3385 inches). In 128 years the global average sea level will rise 435 millimeters: that is only 17.1259 inches higher than today.
NASA: “The Antarctic ice sheet’s mass has changed over the last decades. Research based on satellite data indicates that between 2002 and 2020, Antarctica shed an average of 149 billion metric tons of ice per year, adding to global sea level rise.” So NASA has apparently updated to the current level of 152 billion tons of ice lost annually in Antarctica with additional amounts from all the world’s glaciers and the total loss of global glaciation and total resulting rise in global average sea level is only 435 millimeters (0.435 meters) or 17.1259 inches.
This actually makes sense because the glaciers created during the last ice age have already mostly melted and caused a 400 foot increase in global average sea level and we are at the very end of that ice age. Not much more human adjustments to go.
NASA: “The average flow lines (gray; created from satellite radar interferometry) of Antarctica’s ice converge into the locations of prominent outlet glaciers, and coincide with areas of highest mass loss (i.e., Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers in West-Antarctica).This supports other observations that warming ocean waters around Antarctica play a key role in contemporary ice mass loss.”
How does anyone conclude from the above that total loss of glacial ice mass will lead to any kind of “crisis”? In fact NASA specifically says they have produced all this information to help PLANNERS prepared for a slowly approaching change. Well, no one can without being misleading.
Just this past week we’ve been seeing headlines warning of “the Doomsday Glacier” (referring to Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica). The news networks and the YouTubers producing this kind of headline are misleading the public. But don’t we also know they can’t be just trying to be helpful when we also know that producing flashy headlines benefits both “news sources” and “monetized” YouTubers?
NOAA: “The April 2021 global surface temperature was 0.79°C (1.42°F) above the 20th century average of 13.7°C (56.7°F). This was the smallest value for April since 2013 and was the ninth warmest April in the 142-year record. “ Results from a wide range of climate model simulations suggest that our planet’s average temperature could be between 2 and 9.7°F (1.1 to 5.4°C) warmer in 2100 than it is today.”
In other words, the global temperature in 2100 may be as high as 66.4ºF (19.1º C). But might be as little as 58.7º F. (14.3º C)
Sources estimating both CO2 level and temperature for the entire Mesozoic Era indicate that there were millions of years when the atmospheric CO2 level was as high as 1500 ppm and global temperatures were in the 20ºC range. Today we have a 400+ppm CO2 level and the global temperature is around 56.7º F ( 13.7º C). There were no glaciers and no winter temperatures during the Mesozoic except the for the areas immediately around the North and South poles.
So we have this tie-in with CO2 level and global temperatures and there doesn’t appear to be any “crisis” but a relatively slowly increasing need for advanced planning to avoid real catastrophe for some large parts of our world population. If it were up to me, I would be telling legislators and top government officials to begin emphasizing the need for forward planning in place of hysterical headlines. Make headlines: about forward planning.
Most people living in the extreme North and South Latitudes will agree: getting rid of snow and ice will be a great benefit. Taking a position that says it’s necessary to “endure for the sake of the planet” looks downright dumb and politically counter productive.
But lately there’s been more talk about methane being a stronger greenhouse gas and the recent observations of large emissions of that gas.
PBS NOVA: “Arctic Sinkholes” (2022–02–02) — “In the Arctic, enormous releases of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, threaten the climate. Colossal explosions shake a remote corner of the Siberian tundra, leaving behind massive craters. In Alaska, a huge lake erupts with bubbles of inflammable gas. Scientists are discovering that these mystifying phenomena add up to a ticking time bomb, as long-frozen permafrost melts and releases vast amounts of methane, a potent greenhouse gas. What are the implications of these dramatic developments in the Arctic? Scientists and local communities alike are struggling to grasp the scale of the methane threat and what it means for our climate future.”
I’ve been watching NOVA episodes since they first began in 1974. That series soon became one of the most-watched science based programs on television (at least 2 times more watched than any subscriber year of the New York Times for the same period).
This latest episode of NOVA makes clear that the thawing of permafrost has brought on a new surge of both CO2 and methane emissions on a huge scale. Notice here that it’s a natural process but one which, once begun, cannot be stopped with any current technology. But it’s true that this naturally occurring process doesn’t take into account the naturally occurring process of human innovation. We are also at the same time witnessing the amazing flow of new research, new ideas and new developments driven by the human mind.
So it will remain of great interest around the world. This is a race between global warming and its causes and side effects and the human mind, our human ingenuity. And now there is the first appearances of artificial intelligence, another unimaginable technology.
The Chinese government is already using the most current computer and imaging technology to measurably exert control of behaviors in its population of 1,444,000,000. And experts tell us they will only become better at this massive task. So why not apply the same technology to solve the multifaceted problem of global warming through increased greenhouse gases?
In the end, I think it wise to put more attention on planning for the near future and AI rather than spending huge sums on producing alarmist propaganda for the benefit of one political party [and the few individuals at its head].
How important is it to you to promote a political party over the well being of all your fellow citizens? Why not instead devote your attention and your energy to the further development of world-saving technology?